Systems Transformation & Leadership
The stratosphere is now cooling and contracting while the troposphere is warming and growing (Pearce, 2023). The planetary atmosphere is weirdly warming and cooling simultaneously: a paradox and a potentially growing polarity. When interdependent systems polarise, trouble is brewing – it is not evident how…yet.
At the individual and community level, most people in my circles of influence do not know what to make of the subtle climate changes they have experienced. The top metre of lakes are now warm enough to swim without wetsuits in late May. That is a change from 5 years ago when it was late June. Smokey skies have always been common in the summer months for a few days at a time. As parts of the Boreal forest burn faster, longer and hotter, the smoke lingers. The time periods between smoke events are shorter. Fire season ends with the onset of fall rains and lower temperatures. Sadly, winters start later and end sooner for those of us doing snow and ice-based activities. However, most others are not bothered by this season continually warming and contracting.
It does not feel like an emergency because, collectively, we have normalised that which is not normal.
Might perceptions change over the next couple of years with the early arrival of an El Nino and the warmest ocean temperatures in historical records (McHugh, 2023)? Could the shift in wildfire season and the heat it generates add to feedback loops (Laureau, 2023)? Will the consequences of these dynamics be enough reality all at once to feel like an emergency? Is there even a readiness to accept the consequences of change? The funny thing about climate is that it is everybody’s problem but nobody’s responsibility. Food operates much the same way.
Our fragile food value chains will be tested again under the drought circumstances developing in Western Canada (De Castillo, 2023). Multiple breadbasket failures due to climate change are a historical reality (Hasegawa et. al, 2022). Climate forecasting models have not factored in additional consequences of climate driven water conflicts or regional wars (SIPRI, 2023). Persistent food insecurity is highly problematic in Canada and now touches middle classes (PROOF, 2023). Food sovereignty and security, made visible and worse with an endemic SARS-COV-2 pandemic, is in dire need of leadership. Clearly, calls for transformational change at national and provincial levels have yet to be enacted.
In a 2020 video, Dr. Susan Moser explains at the 30 second mark, that leaders and decision-makers still need to catch up with the scope, impact and depth of change that has already arrived. Most of those in powerful positions have little to no expertise in or knowledge of climate science, adaptation, or climate leadership. This vacancy is a potential opportunity (Moser, 2020).
Political polarity is an increasing response in Canada to shifting party ideologies (Merkley, 2022). Leadership skills for this evolving systems phenomenon involve greater literacies in multi-level sense-making, hard conversations, and power and energy flows. Leaders must have lived understandings in addition to intellectual ways of knowing (Blignaut, 2020).
When asked what leadership is, Meg Wheatley responds, “Sane leadership is the unshakeable faith in people’s capacity to be generous, creative and kind. It is the commitment to create the conditions for these capacities to blossom, protected from the external environment. It is the deep knowing that, even in the most dire circumstances, more becomes possible as people engage together with compassion and discernment, self-determining their way forward.” (Wheatly, 2023). Perhaps maintaining what is left of our humanity within the context of climate change impacts is the primary issue of focus at individual and community levels. That, and avoiding burnout at the same time.
Nature is in the ultimate leadership position, setting the pace of change and the rules by which we are governed. In a time of growing polarisation, sluggish policy responses and a dire need to support human systems of care (food, learning, health), different forms of leadership and skillsets are required. It is imperative to re-establish healthy relationships with ourselves, each other and the planetary systems that we are part of and utterly dependent upon.
References
Blignaut, S. (2020, January). Navigate Complexity: Three Habits of Mind | by Sonja Blignaut | Medium. Sonja Blignaut. Retrieved June 13, 2023, from https://sonjablignaut.medium.com/navigate-complexity-three-habits-of-mind-86c07803078a
de Castillo, C. K. (2023, June 11). Extremely dry spring leaves southern Albertan farmers on the road to ‘zero production’ | Globalnews.ca. Global News. Retrieved June 13, 2023, from https://globalnews.ca/news/9761043/dry-spring-southern-albertan-farmers-zero-production/
Hasegawa, T., Wakatsuki, H., & Nelson, G. (2022, October). Evidence for and projection of multi-breadbasket failure caused by climate change. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 58. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1877343522000690
Lareau, N. (2023, June 12). Tweet. Twitter. https://twitter.com/nplareau/status/1668272118130253826
McHugh, B. (2023, June 12). North Atlantic Ocean records its highest ever sea surface temperature. Yorkshire Bylines. Retrieved June 13, 2023, from https://yorkshirebylines.co.uk/news/environment/north-atlantic-ocean-records-its-highest-ever-sea-surface-temperature/
Merkley, E., Matthews, S., & Zafa, A. (2022, November 4). Future of Democracy Series: The State of Political Polarization in Canada (FON1-V21) – CSPS. École de la fonction publique du Canada. Retrieved June 13, 2023, from https://www.csps-efpc.gc.ca/video/future-democracy-series/political-polarization-eng.aspx
Moser, S. (2020, October 6). Why we need climate leadership NOW: Susanne C. Moser, leading US climate adaptation expert. YouTube. Retrieved June 13, 2023, from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fxbpJLIQVmA
New data on household food insecurity in 2022. (2023, May 2). PROOF | Food Insecurity. Retrieved June 13, 2023, from https://proof.utoronto.ca/2023/new-data-on-household-food-insecurity-in-2022/
Pearce, F. (2023, May 18). The Upper Atmosphere Is Cooling, Prompting New Climate Concerns. Yale E360. Retrieved June 13, 2023, from https://e360.yale.edu/features/climate-change-upper-atmosphere-cooling
War in the breadbasket: One year in. (2023, February 24). SIPRI. Retrieved June 13, 2023, from https://www.sipri.org/commentary/blog/2023/war-breadbasket-one-year
Wheatley, M. (2023). Who Do We Choose To Be? Facing Reality, Claiming Leadership, Restoring Sanity (2nd ed.). Berrett-Koehler Publishers Inc. https://margaretwheatley.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/OPENING-Book-Excerpt.pdf
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