Clocks and Clouds
Rapid energy and material consumption reduction are needed for the ecological planetary systems to heal and hopefully regenerate. If the restoration of planetary boundaries is to occur, nothing in the global north can continue along in a colonial business-as-usual exponential growth fashion. Nevertheless, the status quo does continue – even in the Masters of Arts in Climate Action Leadership (MACAL) program.
Considering this context, this blog post aims to reflect on my learning to date critically; and demonstrate transdisciplinary thinking about complex concepts, issues, and ideas related to climate action leadership. In addition, I will reflect on my deepening thinking about climate risk assessment.
On the program web page, the Royal Roads University MACAL program invites learners to “create ground-breaking solutions through communication, changemaking and leadership” and “join an international movement of climate action leaders working to change the climate story from a tale of disaster to one of transformation.” The program description states that the climate emergency is our world’s most pressing challenge. It also identifies strong leadership; social, political, cultural and economic responses; and a low-carbon, socially just and climate-resilient future as some of the solutions.
The transdisciplinary approach in the MACAL program is to ‘to respond to real-world problems and generate real-world solutions’ by ‘shifting underlying behaviour, beliefs and systemic issues that continue to fuel the climate crisis’. Also, ‘by reducing vulnerability and increasing resilience in communities, systems and organisations’, sustainable futures can be co-created.
Dr. Elizabeth Childs, a co-lead in the CALS 501 course, is fond of saying, “Courses are containers and invitations to explore particular areas. These are just starting points.” There has been space to explore a broader potential from what is offered.
‘Cloud problems’ are a metaphor for dynamic and complex problems (Popper, 1966). They are endless and evolving with multiple nonlinear feedback loops that are both known and unknown. Cloud problems exist on a complexity scale. At the other end of the spectrum are ‘clock problems’.
Clock problems are complicated, (Popper, 1966) with fixes that experts can generally enact over a short period of time. Aspects of the problem can be taken apart, considered and fully understood. Problems are cause and effect – if this (x), then that (y). The systems are closed and circular. Targeted solutions are often low risk, incremental in their approach and maintain the status quo (business-as-usual).
Some examples of cloud problems are polycrises, tipping points, biodiversity loss and the climate emergency. Undernutrition, overnutrition, and global food systems fall into this category, as does collective trauma and social collapse. These issues demand transformative changes. This means multiple solutions are contained in diverse worldviews that emerge over numerous time scales. Cloud problems can not be ‘fixed’, but they can be shifted and healed.
Examples of clock problems include hunger, literacy, risk assessment process in its current form as designed to address local climate hazards, and climate science. These issues have solutions that do not change systems.
Clock problems and cloud problems take very different approaches to solutions. In a learning module on complex problems and systems, the University of Waterloo Institute for Social Innovation and Resilience acknowledges that the types of problems being dealt with affects the types of approaches and the level of impact being applied.
Rob Ricigliano is the Director of World Affairs at the University of Wisconsin. He explains that harm may result when attempts to repair what needs healing, or beliefs in simple solutions from clock-type thinking, are used for cloud-like problems (Ricigliano, 2021). Using the proper strategies for these issues is a leadership challenge and a necessary competency of this historical era.
The general goals of approaches that underlie the spectrum of complexity, from clock problems to cloud predicaments, range from a quick fix to holistic healing. The majority of courses in the first year of the MACAL program align with the goals of technical and adaptive approaches.
Ricigliano’s 2022 Governance for Systems Change blog post unpacks these various approaches across the spectrum. Ricigliano also states that approaches demonstrate choices which become invitations for engagement.
Targeted solutions necessitate a technological approach and rely upon best practices, skills and knowledge or a higher level of expertise. In addition, there is a need for certainty and control because uncertainty can become a barrier between the identified problem and the selected solution (Ricigliano, 2022). Targeted solutions might, for example, provide services and programs.
A moderate degree of certainty regarding the definition of the problem and its causes is necessary for an adaptive approach when considering solutions at scale. A decent level of certainty must be enough to navigate through remaining uncertainties to find the subsurface causes and probable solutions (Ricigliano, 2022), (e.g. a climate risk assessment process). A solution at scale might consider making a policy change.
Transdisciplinary approaches are holistic and complex problems focused in system innovations. Environmental, social, and health sciences are interwoven and go beyond their conventional bounds in a humanities context (Choi & Pak, 2006). A system innovation might change incentives to make long-term approaches more appealing.
An emergent approach is needed in transformation. It considers the core drivers of predicaments that are mostly unknown or misunderstood. Also, the core drivers are generally unknown or unformed. So, systems transformation asks us to stay with ‘the trouble’. Shifts in consciousness and paradigms are required to transform patterns (power, narratives, resources, relationships) that would improve the health of that system (Ricigliano, 2022).
There are different ways to apply technological and adaptive approaches when considering targeted solutions and solutions at scale. To whom or what are they in service? Do they support planetary healing? Do they regenerate essential relationships? Or, are they just propping up extractive business-as-usual RCP 8.5 climate scenarios?
The courses within the MACAL program appear to be misaligned if the purpose is to address the complexity of the current climate emergency predicament. The ‘clock’ end of the spectrum tends to be driven by anthropocentric information/ data and Western science-based, cannibal capitalism that results in fractured impacts and the continuation of the status quo. Moreover, urgency is absent. For example, CALS500 Climate Science Impacts and Services course design concentrated on delivering facts in a technical manner using the IPCC AR6 WG1 report. This may have value as a climate scientist, but provides little use for sector leaders who require a broader literacy in all three interrelated IPCC AR6 reports.
As we learned from Einstein, you can not solve problems at the same level of thinking that created them.
Systems change considers the root causes of predicaments using systems-level thinking and deep understanding. This is in contrast to surface-level change that only deals with the symptoms of an issue but will not alter the underlying causes. Systems transformation is a transition to a new and permanently altered state.
The MACAL program competencies of adaptive leadership, innovative change-making, climate communications, adaptation and resilience, with systems and futures thinking, continue to be applicable. However, progressing past management and contemplating a complementary skill set that incorporates emergence and healing, whole-person learning, and life-centred design is warranted as first year foundational learning if one considers the program description. Thoughts for my second year of this program are now turning towards core elements that centre: relational modes of knowing, being and acting; deep listening, humble inquiry, co-creation and collaboration; social arts and humanities literacies, sense-making for better decision making; and ‘more-than-human’ (life-centred) rights and responsibilities. These are integral and broadly applicable leadership skills for what is now at stake.
In the context of the UN’s IPCC Sixth Assessment Synthesis Report released earlier this month, and Antonio Guterres, Un Secretary General, stating: “This report is a clarion call to massively fast-track climate efforts by every country and every sector and on every timeframe. Our world needs climate action on all fronts: everything, everywhere, all at once.”; the future MACAL program has opportunities to make changes to meet this call with more than status-quo clock solution approaches.
References
Choi, B. C., & Pak, A. W. (2006, December 29). Multidisciplinarity, interdisciplinarity and transdisciplinarity in health research, services, education and policy: 1. Definitions, objectives, and evidence of effectiveness. Clin Invest Med, (6), 351-364. PMID: 17330451
Complex problems and systems | Waterloo Institute for Social Innovation and Resilience. (n.d.). University of Waterloo. Retrieved April 5, 2023, from https://uwaterloo.ca/waterloo-institute-for-social-innovation-and-resilience/education/learning-modules/complex-problems-and-systems
Cox, R., Niederer, S., Forssman, V., & Sikorski., L. (2020). Climate Adaptation Competency Framework. Adaptation Learning Network. Retrieved December 10, 2022, from https://can-adapt.ca/sites/weadapt.org/files/aln-competencyframework_2021_1.pdf
guide, s. (n.d.). Master of Arts in Climate Action Leadership. Royal Roads University. Retrieved April 5, 2023, from https://www.royalroads.ca/programs/master-arts-climate-action-leadership?tab=program-description
Popper, K. R. (1966). Of Clouds and Clocks: An Approach to the Problem of Rationality and the Freedom of Man. Washington University.
Ricigliano, R. (2021, September 27). The Complexity Spectrum. Medium. https://blog.kumu.io/the-complexity-spectrum-e12efae133b0
Ricigliano, R. (2022, February 21). Governance for System Change. The Complexity Spectrum. Medium. https://medium.com/in-too-deep/governance-for-system-change-c5652e398348Secretary-General Calls on States to Tackle Climate Change ‘Time Bomb’ through New Solidarity Pact, Acceleration Agenda, at Launch of Intergovernmental Panel Report | UN Press. (2023, March 20). UN Press. Retrieved April 5, 2023, from https://press.un.org/en/2023/sgsm21730.doc.htm