Can a Municipality Use a Transformative Adaptation Strategy for Sea Level Rise?
As climate change impacts are now affecting most communities, there is an urgency to find adaptation strategies that are appropriate for the long term (Fedele et al., 2019). Solutions that only address immediate problems or are incremental solutions may quickly become redundant or ineffective as climate changes. Also, the fundamental causes of vulnerability might be overlooked with incremental strategies. Transformative adaptation is a way to “navigate shifts driven by climate change [and] increase the efficiency and sustainability of climate solutions” (Fedele et al., 2019, p. 116). However, incremental adaptation has been the status quo as it is easier to incorporate within existing decision-making structures (Pelling, 2015). As the urgency to adapt increases, is there a role for transformative adaptation for a municipality facing sea level rise?
Having just completed a climate adaptation business case for a community grappling with sea level rise, I believe the preferred recommendation based on a multi-criteria analysis could be a transformational adaptation strategy. Of note, improving ecology and supporting culture was the highest-ranked criterion by city staff. The city is trying to protect a paved road along a several-kilometre stretch of picturesque barrier beach. The road provides access to the beach and is used as a commuter route. It is scenic and convenient for people to skirt the town’s congestion via the ocean-side road.
Unfortunately, the road is already being damaged by rising sea levels and extreme wave events. The road will fail and face increasing levels of degradation and destruction as the sea pushes up against the shoreline. City planners are trying to figure out how to protect the road and other infrastructure such as bike paths, viewing platforms and parking. Yet, due to climate change, the sea has other ideas and will be pounding the barrier beach landward as sea level rises, making it challenging to keep the built infrastructure intact.
Recommending removing the road and leaving only a gravel path, an acquiesce from the shoreline, rated highly for ecological reasons, as it provides space for biological diversity. Also, for cultural reasons, as it enhances access for First Nations to engage in cultural practises and space for non-indigenous to experience the awe of nature. However, accepting such a change is hard to imagine, given that thousands drive the road daily and the beach is a destination for many residents in the summer.
Does the city capitulate to immediate concerns and use incremental protections to stave off sea level rise and protect amenities for beachgoers, or is a different approach possible? Can perspective be changed about what is valued? By rewilding the shoreline, dunes can form, and reform and nature can adapt. Such action could also decolonize the shoreline, which is part of the recognized territorial lands of the local First Nations. Can the community accept a transformative adaptation strategy that reduces risk from rising sea levels, gives land back to nature, increases biodiversity, and supports reconciliation by providing a shoreline that supports cultural traditions? The challenging part about this strategy is the shift or change in the social mindset required to make it acceptable and getting timely alignment from the provincial and federal governments.
The community is likely not ready to move beyond “incremental adaption strategies” (Fedele et al., 2019, p.121) when they have not yet experienced severe climate impacts or had current adaptation strategies catastrophically fail. “There is a tendency for communities to prioritize immediate risks…and discount the importance of future risks (such as sea level rise in 2100) or irregular risks (a one in 200-year flood)” (Pelling, 2015, p 124). So, it could be difficult for the average citizen to visualize the impact of the rising sea and the prudence of a retreat. However, those paying attention to climate change know that coastlines will be severely affected by sea level rise (IPCC, 2022) and that incremental adaptation has “the high likelihood of not being effective in the long-term with the risk of just postponing unavoidable change” (Colloff et al., 2017 as cited in Fedele et al., 2019, p. 122). This foresight needs to be conveyed to the council and community to gain wisdom without having the road first destroyed by sea level rise. That means engagement and learning about the looming devastation of sea level rise, the biodiversity crisis, and the need for reconciliation with First Nations.
An example of a community-wide engagement and conversation about sea level rise is the Sea2City Design Challenge, which engaged with citizens in artful and creative ways (City of Vancouver, n.d.). Engagement needs to help people to develop the capacity to “make sense of complex systems in order to be able to transform” (Lonsdale, 2015, p.28). These types of processes require investment and staff capacity to orchestrate. However, if done well, they can create space for sharing, learning, and planning for initiatives or strategies (Lonsdale, 2015, p. 28). Taking this approach that strives for rich and deep understanding can seem risky as the outcome is not assured and requires honesty and courage on the part of the organization. Resource-tapped municipalities struggle to provide staff and funding for this level of engagement.
Additionally, is it possible for a municipality that is part of a colonial socio-economic structure to be able to lead a transformational adaptation strategy (Pelling et al., 2015)? The city may think it is in the process of a systems change in how it relates to Indigenous peoples, plans for climate change adaptation, and protects biodiversity, but has it reached the maturity to lead the citizens along the same trajectory? Also, are the process changes incremental and are the actions still the status quo – for example, approving shoreline developments, levelling trees for infrastructure projects, and engaging with First Nations well into the planning process rather than at the start? “Transformational adaptation requires leaders and others who are prepared to innovate and take calculated risks” (Lonsdale, 2015, p. 30), which may not be conducive to being re-elected or keeping one’s job.
Who will be the change agent or policy entrepreneur? “Who has autonomy, influence, power over decisions, and the motivation and sustained energy to make necessary changes” (Lonsdale, 2015, p. 30)? The city planner or sustainability manager will often lead the initiative and have the capacity to work across departments and engage with outside agencies and citizens. Seeking a land use partnership with the local First Nations could be a first step and part of accommodating sea level rise. Such an agreement may help to address a pressing issue for First Nations in gaining autonomy over their traditional lands and recognizing the exceptional impacts their communities face because of climate change (seen as a continuation of colonialism) (Teegee, 2020).
However, negotiating agreement with First Nations is not typically the city planner or sustainability manager’s job. Such a transitional adaptation strategy requires many actors working at various levels of government supporting the effort. As Lonsdale et al. (2015) point out, transformation must be acted across various government levels and not simply downloaded to the “local actor” or sustainability manager. Even this relatively straightforward example of moving a road before the sea destroys it requires considerable energy, engagement, partnerships, and agreements to develop a transitional adaptation strategy. Therefore, there will likely be some incremental measures taken to protect the road while a longer-term approach is developed.
Resources
City of Vancouver. (n.d.). Sea2City Design Challenge (Website). https://vancouver.ca/green-vancouver/sea2city-design-challenge.aspx
Fedele, G., Donatti, C. I., Harvey, C. A., Hannah, L., & Hole, D. G. (2019). Transformative adaptation to climate change for sustainable social-ecological systems. Environmental Science & Policy, 101, 116–125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2019.07.001
IPCC. (2022). Summary for Policymakers. [H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, M. Tignor, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem (eds.)]. In: Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. [H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, M. Tignor, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem, B. Rama (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3–33, doi:10.1017/9781009325844.001.
Lonsdale, K., Pringle, P., & Turner, B. (2015). Transformative adaptation: What it is, why it matters and what is needed (Publisher’s version). https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:40000abd-74a0-4a3e-8e73-34374852474c
Pelling, M., O’Brien, K., & Matyas, D. (2015). Adaptation and transformation. Climatic Change, 133(1), 113–127. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1303-0
Teegee, T. (2020). Cultural Rights of First Nations and Climate Change. British Columbia Assembly of First Nations. https://www.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/Documents/Issues/CulturalRights/Call_ClimateChange/BCAFN.pdf
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